Daytime67 ° Wind: SW 5-15 mph becoming NW 15-25 & gusty late Mostly cloudy with showers; Maybe some thunder; Breezy; Turning cooler late Activity Meter: 2
Overnight21 ° Wind: NW 15-25 mph gusting to 50 Mostly cloudy & becoming much colder; Snow showers & flurries; Very windy Activity Meter: 2
Wednesday, March 12 in Asheville (BRP)
Despite a lot of clouds and some light rain/drizzle out there this morning, it is actually fairly mild by early March standards. Our current temps as of 7am are actually right around our normal highs temperatures for this time of year. The morning and early afternoon hours will remain mild, but a strong cold front will put an abrupt end to the mild weather by late this afternoon. Expect off and on light rain/drizzle through the morning ahead of the front with showers becoming more isolated in nature by this afternoon. As the front sweeps through, temps will begin to fall and the wind will quickly increase, becoming very windy by this evening and tonight. Wind gusts of 45-55 mph are expected, so be aware of fallen tree branches / small trees. Thursday is unseasonably cold and breezy, but by Friday and Saturday, it won’t be nearly as cold. The next chance of rain comes Saturday night and Sunday.
Last updated on 03/12/14 at 7AM by Roger
Daytime36 ° Wind: NW 15-25 mph (gusting to 40 early) Early morning snow flurries; Becoming clear; Much colder; Windy, especially AM Activity Meter: 1
Overnight22 ° Wind: NW 5-10 mph early, then light Clear & cold Activity Meter: 1
Daytime55 ° Wind: Light South Sunny; Moderating temperatures after a chilly start Activity Meter: 3
Overnight36 ° Wind: SW 5-15 mph More clouds arriving Activity Meter: 3
Daytime57 ° Lots of clouds; Seasonable temperatures Activity Meter: 3
Overnight38 ° Mostly cloudy; Can't rule out a few rain showers Activity Meter: 3
Daytime51 ° Cloudy with a continued chance for rain Activity Meter: 1
Overnight36 ° Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain; Can't rule out some snow mixing in, especially above 3000' Activity Meter: 1
Daytime47 ° AM rain and snow, otherwise mostly to partly cloudy Activity Meter: 2
Overnight31 ° Partly cloudy Activity Meter: 2
Daytime53 ° Partly cloudy Activity Meter: 3
Overnight40 ° Partly cloudy Activity Meter: 3
The headlining weather feature today is a strong storm system over the eastern US that will bring some dramatic changes in the weather along the Parkway. A strong area of low pressure is centered over the western Ohio Valley this morning with a sharp cold front extending SW through western KY/TN and into eastern TX. Meanwhile, a warm front extends SE from the low through eastern TN and into Georgia.
Along and ahead of the warm front, widespread cloudiness and areas of light rain/drizzle have broken out across SW NC this morning. This will continue through at least the late-morning hours. By early afternoon, we may get a brief break in the light rain/drizzle as the warm front pushes NE of the area. The cold front won’t be too far behind, however, and it is expected to reach SW NC later in the afternoon (around 4pm or so). We expect isolated showers and maybe a brief thunderstorm to develop along the cold front as it moves through. Whether you see any rain with the cold front or not, you will definitely know of its arrival as the wind will quickly shift to the NW and become gusty. Temperatures will begin to fall fairly quickly behind the front as well. Later this evening, the wind will continue to increase with gusts of 45-55 mph expected through the overnight period. In addition to the wind, we expect upslope snow showers and flurries to develop late this evening and continue into early Thursday morning. In general, we expect a dusting or so along the Parkway near Asheville. But, sections north of the Folk Art Center and west of Balsam Gap could pick up a couple of inches with slightly higher amounts expected right along the TN border.
The other big issue with this system will be temperatures. Lows overnight tonight will bottom out in the teens and 20’s (15-20 degrees below normal). Factor in the wind and it will feel even colder. Wind chill values will drop close to zero in spots by early Thursday morning. High pressure overhead on Thursday will move east by Friday allowing a southerly wind to develop. This will allow a moderation in temperatures back to normal for Friday and Saturday.
We have tried to keep the weekend forecast as optimistic as possible for as long as possible, but this morning we did have to make some minor changes to the forecast. At the moment, Saturday still looks dry during the daytime, but there will be a lot of clouds around. We did have to add a chance of rain to Saturday night, though. Sunday still looks like the wetter of the two weekend days as an upper level disturbance interacts with a slow-moving cold front dropping down from the north. Keep in mind that adjustments in timing of the rain over the weekend may be needed later. Now, as that cold front moves through, enough cold air may move in to allow for the rain to mix with or change to snow across parts of SW NC Sunday night / Monday morning. It all depends on how long the moisture lingers as the colder air arrives. High pressure builds back in for Tuesday with improving conditions.